Zencargo Market Update: 11th April
Apr 11, 2023
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Apr 11, 2023
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If ever there was an indictment of the tumultuous and capricious nature of the shipping market over the past few years, it could be found in conflicting articles which have surfaced this week, describing enduring profits for carriers and historic saving for shippers.
And it would be fair to most to ask the next logical question, but how?
As the Q1 financials for carriers begin to trickle in, the numbers show a dramatic drop from Q4 figures but perhaps a more forgiving result when compared with pre-Covid levels. If we take Hong Kong-based OOCL, a subsidiary of China’s Cosco, as an example, the figures show that while revenue per FEU fell 56%(Y/Y) in Q1, this still represented a 40% increase upon the average price between 2018 and 2019.
Now onto the shippers.
In a recent article published by Hellenic Shipping News, Drewry was quoted as saying that “contract rates this year would fall by at least 50% year-on-year, and shippers would also be able to secure better terms and conditions” before going on to say that with hindsight in mind Drewry would revise the fall to 60%. The article goes on to assert that they expect this to be “the largest year-on-year reduction in shipping costs for at least 7 years”.
So how can we account for this contradiction?
For starters there has been a meteoric drop in rates over the past year and while this has definitely eaten into the carriers profits, annual contracts signed in 2022 have shielded them, as well as the resilience of the spot rates on the trans-Atlantic westbound market which remain at much higher levels than pre Covid.
Whilst for shippers, everything which goes up must come down, and the 60% reduction in spot rates is largely a result of the historically high levels reached during the pandemic era.
Speaking of falling rates, indices are beginning to show that the rate erosion is slowing down, with Xeneta XSI Global index, which tracks long-term contract rates, showing only a 0.5% contraction in March versus February. Meanwhile on the spot market last week the Drewry World Container Index global composite remained unchanged showing no decline week on week.
Ocean
Road/Rail
Air
Central China to USA and Europe
North China to USA and Europe
South China to USA and Europe
Ocean
Ocean
Road/Rail
European Bank Holidays
We anticipate a shortage of availability and the occurrence of delays around the bank holiday periods. Plan ahead and allow extra time for your products to be delivered.
April 14 – Bulgaria, Cyprus, Greece, Romania
April 15 – Bulgaria, Cyprus*
April 16 – Bulgaria, Cyprus*, Greece, Romania
April 17 – Bulgaria, Cyprus, Greece, Romania
April 18 – Cyprus*
April 21 – Spain*
April 22 – Spain*
April 24 – Spain*
April 25 – Italy, Portugal
April 27 – Netherlands, Slovenia
April 28 – Gibraltar
April 29 – Russia
April 30 – Russia
May 1 – Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH), Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Guernsey and Alderney, Holy See (Vatican City), Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Eire), Isle of Man, Italy, Jersey, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macedonia, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, North Cyprus, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Svalbard and Jan Mayen, Sweden, Switzerland*, Transdniestria (PMR), Turkey, UK (United Kingdom), Åland (Ahvenanmaa)
May 2 – Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH), Montenegro, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain*, Transdniestria (PMR)
May 3 – Poland
May 4 – Austria*, Latvia
May 5 – Denmark, Faroe Islands, Greenland (Kalaallit Nunaat), Latvia, Netherlands*
May 6 – Bulgaria, Russia
May 7 – Lithuania, Russia
May 8 – Belarus, Belgium*, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, France, Gibraltar, Guernsey and Alderney, Isle of Man, Jersey, Moldova, Russia, Saint Helena, Slovakia, Transdniestria (PMR), UK (United Kingdom)
May 9 – Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH)*, Guernsey and Alderney, Jersey, Kosovo, Luxembourg, Moldova, Russia, Transdniestria (PMR)
*Not in all regions
The information that is available in the Weekly Market Update comes from a variety of online sources, partners and our own teams. Click below to learn more about how Zencargo can help make your supply chain your competitive advantage.
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