Market Update 03 11 21
Welcome to the Zencargo weekly freight market update – the latest news from our freight and procurement teams on the real experience of shippers.
This week: The 4th China International Import Expo, China’s power outages continue

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In focus: The 4th China International Import Expo

The 4th China International Import Expo will be held in Shanghai from November 5th – 10th. A total of 58 countries and 3 international organisations will participate in the national exhibition, and nearly 3,000 exhibitors from 127 countries and regions will present in the enterprise exhibition.

Shanghai is about to enter a tight state of preparation. The East China Administration has suspended new cargo flights in Shanghai Pudong International Airport, cancelling a large number of flights. Due to the Shanghai International Import Expo, no approval will be given for flights before November 13th.

ship

Ocean

Asia → North America

Rates

  • Carriers have extended their rates in November. They have also decreased their rates to $500 per 40 ft container. 
  • According to the Freightos Baltic Index (FBX), Asia to US West Coast rates were unchanged this week at $17,377 per 40ft. 
  • Asia to US East Coast rates are set to $20,695 per 40ft.

Capacity

  • There is more space available at present, possibly due to the disruptions in China. 
  • Demand has decreased due to power outages in China. 
    • Some factories can only open for three to four days a week in South China.
    • Factories in North & East China are open four to five days a week, instead of the usual six days a week. 
  • Factories are starting to prepare for the Chinese New Year holiday and plan to ship cargo in the second half of November. This is to prepare for any disruptions as transportation time has been longer compared to previous years. 
    • Maersk has suggested that factory output could be hit before the CNY holiday as coal has already doubled in price. As China enters the winter season, the general need for electricity will increase. This coal and power supply crunch will be tough on factories.
  • Wan Hai Lines announced that they are increasing capacity on its solo Asia-USA east coast service. 
    • Then ten 2,800-4000 TEU ships on the AA7 route will be replaced by eleven 4,600-5,600 TEU ships from 3 November.
    • It will add three more ports of call to the service.
    • From 3 November, the rotation will be: Ningbo-Taipei-Xiamen-Shekou-Cai Mep-Port Klang-New York-Charleston-Savannah-Ningbo.

Ports

  • The port of Long Beach continues to experience delays.
    • 74 containerships are anchored at San Pedro Bay and are waiting for space at Long Beach or Los Angeles. This is down from 80 containerships last week. 
    • According to Long Beach port authorities, there are close to 150,000 boxes at the port. 
    • There are also more than half a million containers on the water.
  • The latest move by Long Beach to clear congestion and restore velocity is an agreement with Union Pacific. The agreement is for UP to haul containers to Salt Lake City for onward dispatch by rail or truck to other destinations or regional distribution centres. 
  • Long Beach and Los Angeles have announced a levy on shipping lines on containers that stay on the docks for nine days or longer and $100 increments every additional day the boxes remain at the ports.  
  • US inventory levels are set to rise more than previously anticipated. 
    • Warehouse capacity is already under strain and this is unlikely to change until 2023. 
City Soonest Availability Date Important Note! Notice Required (Estimated)
ATLANTA 11/3 (chassis shortage) Export Congestion / limited hazardous availability 1.5 weeks
BIRMINGHAM 11/16 Export Congestion 3 weeks
CHARLESTON 11/10 3.5 – 4 weeks
CHARLOTTE 11/4/2021 (chassis shortage) 2 weeks
CHICAGO 11/17- HAZ 11/23 (Chassis shortage) Export Congestion 3.5 weeks
CINCINNATI 11/4 (Chassis Shortage) 1.5 weeks
CLEVELAND 11/4 (Chassis Shortage) Export Congestion 1.5 weeks
DALLAS 11/1 Export Congestion 1 week
DENVER Local OPEN Road 11/2 (Chassis Shortage) Export Congestion 2 days local / 1.5 weeks for road moves
DETROIT 11/11 (Chassis Shortage) Export Congestion 2.5 weeks
HOUSTON 11/11 Local 11/24 Road (container and chassis shortage) Export Congestion / Limited availability for DFW area / Chassis shortage 2.5-4 weeks
HUNTSVILLE 11/5 1.5 weeks
INDIANAPOLIS 11/8 (chassis shortage) Export Congestion 1.5 weeks
KANSAS CITY 11/15 (Chassis Shortage) Export Congestion 3 weeks
LOS ANGELES NOT ACCEPTING NEW ORDERS UNLESS ALREADY ESTABLISHED REOCCURING MOVES Not accepting new orders
LOUISVILLE 11/6 (Chassis Shortage) Export Congestion 1.5 weeks
MEMPHIS 11/9 (Chassis Shortage) Export Congestion – EXTREMELY limited hazardous coverage 2 weeks
MIAMI 11/24 VERY limited availability out of SFCT, Limited haz availability 4 weeks
MINNEAPOLIS 11/1 (Chassis shortage) 1 weeks
MOBILE LOCAL 11/12 ROAD 11/23(Chassis Shortage) EXTREMELY limited availability for moves over 300 miles and/or OW loads 2.5 weeks local / 4 weeks road
NASHVILLE 11/3 (Chassis shortage) Export Congestion 1 week
NEW ORLEANS 11/11 (Chassis Shortage) Very limited on triaxles/overweight 2.5 weeks
NY/NJ 11/23 4 weeks
NORFOLK 11/12 (Chassis shortage) Very limited availability for PA moves 2.5 weeks
OAKLAND 11/5(Chassis shortage) Export Congestion 4 weeks
OMAHA 11/2 Very limited triaxles 1 week
PHILADELPHIA 11/11 (Chassis shortage) Limited availability for exports 2.5 weeks
PORTLAND 11/19 Chassis shortage, Very limited truck availability 3.5 weeks
SAINT LOUIS 11/4 (chassis shortage) Export Congestion – limited availability for triaxles. 1.5 weeks
SAVANNAH 11/22 non haz – Haz 11/30 (Chassis shortage) SPOT PRICING WILL APPLY Export Congestion / limited haz and triaxle availability 4 weeks nonhaz – 5 weeks HAZ/triaxle
SEATTLE/ TACOMA 11/15 (chassis shortage) Very Limited availability for exports and moves out of Tacoma ports 3 weeks

Asia → Europe (Far East Westbound)

Rates

  • According to the Freightos Baltic Index (FBX), there has been a rate dip on Asia to Europe lanes as importers are struggling with the production slow down in China. 
  • Asia to North Europe rates are set to $14,259 per 40ft this week. 

Equipment

  • See below

Capacity

  • The average Asia-Europe round trip delay is 18 days. 
  • Carriers on the Asia-North Europe lane plan to increase their capacity in the fourth quarter by 16%, or 17.3% year-over-year. 
  • It has been estimated that 12.9% of the capacity deployed on Asia-North Europe will be absorbed by port congestion. 
  • A  fourth-quarter forecast by eeSea shows that October capacity growth has increased by 9% over September and 20% compared with October 2020
  • Deployed capacity is expected to fall by 6% in November but is up 10% year-over-year. 
  • In December, the forecast capacity will be up 1% from November, but 19% higher compared with December 2020.

Ports

  • Two of Europe’s busiest ports, Rotterdam and Antwerp, have reported container volumes exceeding pre-pandemic levels during the first nine months of the year. 
    • Container traffic at Rotterdam was up 7.8% year-over-year, handling 11.5 million TEU.
    • Antwerp handled 9.1 million TEU, up almost 3% year-over-year.
Carriers POL 20GP 40GP 40HQ
HPL NINGBO Normal Shortage Shortage
SHANGHAI Normal Shortage Shortage
YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal
MSK QINGDAO Normal Normal Normal
SHANGHAI Normal Normal Normal
NINGBO Normal Normal Normal
Nanjing Normal Normal Shortage
Xiamen Normal Normal Normal
YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal
NANSHA Normal Normal Shortage
HONGKONG Normal Normal Normal
SHANTOU Normal Normal Normal
ONE YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal
XINGANG Normal Normal Normal
QINGDAO Normal Normal Normal
SHANGHAI Normal Normal Normal
NINGBO Normal Normal Normal
ZIM XIANGANG Normal Normal Normal
NINGBO Normal Normal Normal
SHANGHAI Normal Normal Normal
YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal
HMM SHANGHAI Normal Normal Normal
NINGBO Normal Normal Normal
YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal
MSC SHANGHAI Normal Normal Normal
NINGBO Normal Normal Normal
YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal
EMC YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Shortage Shortage
NINGBO Normal Shortage Shortage
SHANGHAI Normal Shortage Shortage
QINGDAO Normal Normal Normal
OOCL YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHANGHAI Normal Normal Normal
NINGBO Normal Normal Shortage
CMA QINGDAO Normal Normal Shortage
SHANGHAI Normal Normal Shortage
NINGBO Normal Normal Shortage
YANTIAN Normal Normal Shortage
SHEKOU Normal Normal Shortage
COSCO YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal
SHANGHAI Normal Normal Normal
NINGBO Normal Normal Normal
QINGDAO Normal Normal Normal
DALIAN Normal Normal Normal
XINGANG Normal Normal Normal
YML YANTIAN Normal Normal Normal
SHEKOU Normal Normal Normal

Europe → USA (Transatlantic Westbound)

Rates

  • Spot rates according to FBX remain at $7,178 per 40ft this week

plane

Air

Asia 

  1.     US market
    • All preighters to Shanghai airport will be cancelled from 1st November – 10th November due to the China International Import Expo. This means further reduction in capacity coming out of China. It is expected that rates will rise even further from this week
    • Strict control measures at PVG airport have resulted in 40% flights being cancelled for the next month. Terminal workers are still adhering to the closed loop system, so PVG is also operating with less than 50% of the usual manpower. 
    • Continued ocean freight issues, tech product launches and shipment of Christmas stock continues to contribute to high airfreight demand this week. 
    • Market rates are high due to lack of capacity and high demand.
    • Large shipments should be booked well in advance to allow time to find space.
    • We are being told that space should be booked before final confirmation of rate.
  1.       EU market (base airport like FRA/AMS/LUX, etc)
    • All preighters to Shanghai airport will be cancelled from 1st November – 10th November due to the China International Import Expo. This means further reduction in capacity coming out of China. It is expected that rates will rise even further from this week
    • Strict control measures at PVG airport have resulted in 40% flights being cancelled for the next month. Terminal workers are still adhering to the closed loop system, so PVG is also operating with less than 50% of the usual manpower. 
    • Continued ocean freight issues, tech product launches and Christmas stock continue to contribute to high airfreight demand this week. 
    • Market rates are high due to lack of capacity and high demand.
    • Large shipments should be booked well in advance to allow time to find space.
    • We are being told that space should be booked before final confirmation of rate. 
  1.   UK market
    • All preighters to Shanghai airport will be cancelled from 1st November – 10th November due to the China International Import Expo. This means further reduction in capacity coming out of China. It is expected that rates will rise even further from this week
    • Continued ocean freight issues, tech product launches and christmas stock continue to contribute to high airfreight demand this week. 
    • Market rates are high due to lack of capacity and high demand.
    • Large shipments should be booked well in advance to allow time to find space.
    • We are being told that space should be booked before final confirmation of rate. 

Americas

  • Rates into Asia, UK and Europe remain mostly the same this week
  • The USA is set to lift its travel ban for most non-citizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo. 
  • ORD is still over capacity and there are issues over release updates. Forwarders are having to send in trucks to collect without knowing if freight is ready and the ground handling agents aren’t answering their phones. 
  • Forwarders are choosing to use smaller airports as much as possible as there is less congestion. Freight rates will be higher but there is less chance of incurring additional costs for attempted pickups, waiting time and storage. 
  • LAX is still a challenge, there are usually waiting time charges applied to most shipments due to the long queues to collect/deliver into the ground handling agents warehouse.

Europe/UK

  • Rates into Asia and North America remain stable as there seems to be enough capacity to meet demand.
  • There has been a spike in volumes at Heathrow airport in the last week and this is resulting in large queues at the airport. This may result in cargo missing flights for export or storage being incurred for imports. 
  • The USA is set to lift its travel ban for most non-citizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo.
van

Road

UK Haulage

Autumn Budget: £32.5 million pledge to help the haulage industry

The chancellor of the exchequer Rishi Sunak acknowledged the challenges facing the logistics sector and has announced funding of £32.5million to improve the much-maligned lorry park facilities. The chancellor also announced during the budget that he would be freezing Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) for HGVs until 2023.

Be Prepared – New Import Controls EU-to-GB from 1 Jan 2022

Europe is suffering from a shortage of 400,000 drivers, with much of the demand based in the UK, a situation expected to get considerably worse by January, when new UK-EU border controls come into force.

Changes to take effect on 1 January 2022:

  • Full customs declarations and controls
  • Pre-notification of Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) goods (extended from 1 October 2021)

European Bank Holidays – November 2021

We anticipate a shortage of availability and the occurrence of delays around the bank holiday periods. Plan ahead and allow extra time for your products to be delivered.

November 2nd – Lithuania

November 4th – Russia

November 5th – Russia

November 6th – Russia, Finland, Morocco, Sweden

November 7th – Russia, Belarus

November 11th – Belgium, France, Poland, Serbia, Austria (Regional)

November 17th – Slovakia, Germany (Regional), Czechia

November 18th – Morocco, Latvia, Croatia

November 30th – Romania

USA Haulage

Because of higher rates, US trucking firms have posted revenue gains. 

However, labour and equipment shortages mean trucking firms are going to suffer bottlenecks and delays on the road. 

According to the American Trucking Association (ATA), the driver shortage has climbed to more than 80,000 as the pandemic has caused many drivers to retire. Backlogs in training and a delay in obtaining licenses has restricted the entry of new qualified drivers. 

Simultaneously the need for drivers has jumped 30% over 2020 levels and the ATA has expressed their concern over a ‘workforce crisis’ in the trucking industry. 

The route ahead

The information that is available in the Weekly Market Update comes from a variety of online sources, partners and our own teams. Click below to learn more about how Zencargo can help make your supply chain your competitive advantage.

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