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In Focus: Power cuts and blackouts before Golden Week promise
This week’s news from China promises additional disruption as shippers attempt to reinforce inventories before the festive season.
As more parts of the world are reopening after pandemic-induced lockdowns, we’re seeing additional pressure on China’s electricity-hungry factories. Compared with last year, electricity demand is growing this year in China at nearly twice its usual annual pace.
Outages have rippled across most of eastern China such as Guangdong (Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Dounguan), Anhui, Zhejiang (Ningbo), Shandong (Qingdao).
Despite the government’s climate change goals to cut energy consumption, factories have purchased generators to remain at normal production.
This new challenges comes just before Golden Week. The 7-day holiday begins from October 1st and runs until the 7th. During this period almost all businesses and factories, as well as government organisations will be closed or low-staffed. This means that production will be slowed down or completely stopped. Airports, sea ports and warehouses will be operating with limited capacity whereas customs offices will be closed.
Ocean
Asia → North America
Rates
Rates are still highly inflated. Spot container freight rates have declined on the Freightos Baltic Index (FBX)
China to US west coast – $19,173 per 40ft
China to US east coast – $21,697 per 40ft
Declines in rates could be due to a loosening capacity in advance of Chinese National Day which takes place on 1 October for 3 days
Capacity
One vessel is being delivered at 11,000 teu from Yang Ming
Overall capacity is very tight as containers are currently stuck outside the US. China to US ocean shipments are taking an average of 73 days to arrive at their final destination
Containers are currently stuck outside the US West and East Coasts and will not be able to return empty to pick up more cargo
The dwell time for containers at 11 major railroad depots reached an average of 9.8 days this month according to Hapag-Lloyd AG
In L.A., containers have to wait 16 days before being picked up
Delays are also surging in Charleston, South Carolina and Detroit
However, there have been improvements in Long Beach and Kansas City
Maersk have deployed gap loaders and launched new TP-X and TP20 services on for the US west and east coast to bolster capacity and improve schedule reliability
Equipment
There is a general chassis shortage
The availability for LA and New York is 4 weeks ahead
The availability for Norfolk is 3 weeks ahead
Tacoma and Seattle are slightly better with availability between 2.5 to 3 weeks ahead
Ports
MSC has added a call in Portland, Oregon which is being assessed as to whether it is an option for customers trying to get their goods into the middle of the USA
New York is on a 7 day delay with 85% density on the yard. However, there are not huge queues of vessels waiting to berth
Savannah has delays of 5 – 7 days with 30+ vessels waiting to berth
Seattle has delays of 16 – 18 days with 11 ships waiting to berth
More than 70 ships are currently in front of L.A. and Longbeach port waiting to dock. This amounts to approximately 500,000 TEUs sitting out at sea on the West Coast
Chicago has an 8 day delay
Europe → USA (Transatlantic Westbound)
Rates
Freightos spot rate remains at $6,869 per 40ft
Capacity
An extra vessel has been added on the 2M TA2/NEUATL2 Transatlantic service which will make a 6 week round trip
Currently this route calls at North European ports and the East Coast of the US
It has been announced that the 7,114 teu Santa Rosa will be added to the service and will call at Felixstowe from Q1, 2022. This will also add a call at Charleston, while Baltimore and Norfolk will be switched in the port call rotation
This is in response to ongoing port congestion and operational constraints taking place in North Europe and North America
Asia → Europe (Far East Westbound)
Rates
Rates will be extended for the majority of carriers
Rates are not dropping because of a lack of capacity in the market
According to the FBX spot rates on the Asia-North Europe route continues to edge up, reaching $14,593 this week
Capacity
Vessels remain full booked and the schedule integrity is still poor
New vessels are entering the market:
Two ships above 20,000 teu – one for Evergreen and the other is for MSC – going from Asia to Europe
Another ship has been delivered at 15,000 teu for CMA and will be going from Asia to the Mediterranean
Maersk has announced that they will adjust vessel voyage numbers in anticipation of upcoming holidays such as China’s Golden Week and Chinese New Year.
They will rationalise some of its service coverage to reduce the number of port calls
Maersk have invested in-fleeting of new containers to provide sufficient stock for Q4
They have advised customers to plan their supply chains ahead for the upcoming holiday rush
Equipment
See below
Ports
Exceptional waiting time for vessels in the port of Hamburg means that 2M’s AE7/Condor Asia-North Europe service would drop calls at the German gateway for the next 13 weeks and switch to Bremerhaven’s NTB terminal
Carriers
POL
20GP
40GP
40HQ
HPL
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
MSK
QINGDAO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
Nanjing
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
Xiamen
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
NANSHA
Normal
Normal
Normal
HONGKONG
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANTOU
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
ONE
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
XINGANG
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
QINGDAO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
ZIM
XIANGANG
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
HMM
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Shortage
MSC
SHANGHAI
Normal
Shortage
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Normal
EMC
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
NINGBO
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
OOCL
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
CMA
QINGDAO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
cosco
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
DALIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
XINGANG
Normal
Normal
Normal
YML
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
Air
Asia
1. US market
Bookings will be closed from 29th September due to Golden Week.
Space will be very tight and equipment in high demand leading up to the holiday. There will be major challenges due to the reduced capacity and staff shortages due to the pandemic. So longer lead times should be expected.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
2. EU market (base airport like FRA/AMS/LUX, etc)
Bookings will be closed from 29th September due to Golden Week.
Space will be very tight and equipment in high demand leading up to the holiday. There will be major challenges due to the reduced capacity and staff shortages due to the pandemic. So longer lead times should be expected.
Passenger flights are fully booked until 8th Oct. There is some remaining space on freighter flights but will need to be booked up quickly.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
3. UK market
Bookings will be closed from 29th September due to Golden Week.
Space will be very tight and equipment in high demand leading up to the holiday. There will be major challenges due to the reduced capacity and staff shortages due to the pandemic. So longer lead times should be expected.
Passenger flights are fully booked until 8th Oct. There is some remaining space on freighter flights but will need to be booked up quickly.
Over the past 2 weeks there has been an unprecedented rise in volume across imports and exports to and from the UK. Airlines are struggling with the increase in volume which is resulting in increased waiting times.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
Americas
Rates into Asia, UK and Europe remain mostly the same this week
USA is set to lift travel ban for most noncitizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo.
ORD is still over capacity and there are issues over release updates. Forwarders are having to send in trucks to collect without knowing if freight is ready and the ground handling agents aren’t answering their phones
Forwarders are choosing to use smaller airports as much as possible as there is less congestion. Freight rates will be higher but there is less chance of incurring additional costs for attempted pickups, waiting time and storage.
LAX is still a challenge, there are usually waiting time charges applied to most shipments due to the long queues to collect/deliver into the ground handling agents warehouse
Europe/UK
Rates into Asia and North America remain stable as there seems to be enough capacity to meet demand.
USA is set to lift travel ban for most noncitizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo.
Road
News
The UK are currently suffering a fuel crisis due to panic buying from consumers
Competition law is to be suspended to allow fuel companies to coordinate where they can send their supplies
The UK government have urged former lorry drivers to get behind the wheel to help solve labour shortages.
They have announced a temporary visa scheme for 5,000 EU lorry drivers
UK Haulage
Continuing to see deterioration in the market which will continue until Christmas
Hauliers are currently full for October
Containerlift is now operating up to three weeks in advance
Urgent deliveries are available but prices are up to 3 times that of standard deliveries
Storage
Felixstowe have a backlog of over a 1000 boxes to move
To move anything, there is a wait of about a week
Pentalver Felixstowe have asked customers to move boxes within 48 hours regardless of a contract or spot movement
Freightliner Laden Deepstore
Any laden container that has not left the terminal for delivery on day 11 with no special agreement will be moved to deep storage
Any laden container that is moved to the deep storage stack will incur the following additional charges;
Lift into stack – £65.00
Lift out of stack – £65.00
Once in deep storage stack following charge will replace standard charges
Storage Charges – £28.00 per TEU Per Day (Including weekends/Bank Holidays)
Terminals will require 3 full working days of notice in order to make containers available from the deep storage stack when being released for final delivery.
The route ahead
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