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In Focus: $2 billion worth of imports at risk due to disruptions at Felixstowe
A new report conducted by risk modelling consultants, Russell Group, has said that billions of dollar’s worth of imports would be impacted in the run-up to the holiday season due to the situation at Felixstowe.
Felixstowe is currently struggling to cope with the volume of cargo and has become severely congested. A lack of HGV drivers, the surge in demand for the Christmas peak and the pandemic has resulted in a build-up of containers. To manage this, the port of Felixstowe has halted restitution of empty containers for several major carriers.
In response, businesses need to be flexible and responsive with haulage spots due to port disruptions and possible last-minute haulier cancellations. It is advisable to forecast ahead of time to prevent the accumulation of added fees such as D&D fees and restitution charges.
Ocean
Asia → North America
Rates
Container spot rates from Asia to the US have re-gained traction after China’s Golden Week holiday.
According to the Freightos Baltic Exchange (FBX), spot rates for a 40ft container has increased by 8.5% to the US West Coast is now $17,377
For the US East Coast, spot rates increased by 6.5% at $20,695 per 40ft.
Capacity
October is forecasted at 2.21 million TEU, down 0.3 percent year-over-year, but still the sixth-busiest month on record as imports remain high. This year-over-year decline would be the first since July 2020.
COVID-19 infections in Asia have slowed the loading of US bound ships.
Ports
Ports on the East Coast such as Savannah and New York are heavily congested.
Savannah handles nearly 500,000 TEU per month and a record 5.3 million TEU in FY21. Delays have been increasingly severe, creating a large backlog at the port.
There are currently 23 ships waiting at anchor off Savannah.
Jacksonville has announced that it has no container vessels waiting at anchorage and has offered shippers a two-way river traffic to transit to and from berths.
Asia → Europe (Far East Westbound)
Rates
Rates have remained the same this week according to the FBX reading.
Spot rates for North Europe are $14,492 per 40ft
For Mediterranean ports, spot rates are $13,361 per 40ft.
Equipment
See below
Capacity
Asia to North Europe ships are taking up to 54 extra days to complete round-trip voyages due to port congestion at European hub ports.
At least 44 extra ships of 14,000-24,000 teu would be required to maintain pro-forma weekly sailings on all 17 loops.
The Ocean Alliance has cut their average voyage delay to just 7 days by skipping ports in North Europe.
2M’s average voyage delay is estimated at 19 days
The Alliance is experiencing average delays of 35 days.
Ports
On week 40, Felixstowe was forced to suspend the return of empty containers due to high yard density and increasing dwell times.
Maersk has asked customers to divert the return of empty Maersk containers to alternative locations around the country.
The carrier is also diversity certain vessels to other ports
Carriers
POL
20GP
40GP
40HQ
HPL
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
MSK
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
Nanjing
Normal
Normal
Shortage
Xiamen
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
NANSHA
Normal
Normal
Normal
HONGKONG
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANTOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
ONE
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
XINGANG
Normal
Normal
Normal
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
ZIM
XIANGANG
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
HMM
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
MSC
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
EMC
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
OOCL
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
CMA
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Shortage
COSCO
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
DALIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
XINGANG
Normal
Normal
Normal
YML
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
Europe → USA (Transatlantic Westbound)
Rates
The FBX reading for North Europe to the US East Coast increased to $7,219 per 40ft container.
MSC will implement a new Peak Season Surcharge from Northwestern (NWC) and ScanBaltic Europe to the port of Savannah.
The surcharge of US $1000 will be effective from 1 November and will be applied to all dry reefer and special equipment containers.
Capacity
Hapag-Lloyd and CMA CGM have announced that two services will be ‘temporarily’ bypassing Savannah, Georgia.
CMA CGM have announced that its Amerigo service will temporarily stop calling Savannah, The service will instead call at South Carolina’s Port of Charleston from the 27th of November. The change comes for a route sailing between the Mediterranean and the East Coast of the United States.
Hapag-Lloyd has announced that its Atlantic Loop 3 service will temporarily bypass Savannah and call at Jacksonville, Florida. The carrier will begin substituting Jacksonville, Florida in mid-November to the route that includes Hamburg, Antwerp, and London.
Zim is launching a monthly North Europe to US east coast service, starting with the sailing from Antwerp on 1 November of the 4,250 teu Seaspan Dalian.
Air
Asia
1. US market
Strict control measures at PVG airport have resulted in 40% flights being cancelled for the next month. Terminal workers are still adhering to the closed loop system, so PVG is also operating with less than 50% of the usual manpower.
Continued ocean freight issues, tech product launches and Christmas stock continues to contribute to high airfreight demand this week.
Market rates are high due to lack of capacity and high demand.
Large shipments should be booked well in advance to allow time to find space.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
2. EU market (base airport like FRA/AMS/LUX, etc)
Strict control measures at PVG airport has resulted in 40% flights being cancelled for the next month. Terminal workers are still adhering to the closed loop system, so PVG is also operating with less than 50% of the usual manpower.
Continued ocean freight issues, tech product launches and Christmas stock continues to contribute to high airfreight demand this week.
Market rates are high due to lack of capacity and high demand.
Large shipments should be booked well in advance to allow time to find space.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
3. UK market
Strict control measures at PVG airport has resulted in 40% flights being cancelled for the next month. Terminal workers are still adhering to the closed loop system, so PVG is also operating with less than 50% of the usual manpower.
Continued ocean freight issues, tech product launches and Christmas stock continue to contribute to high airfreight demand this week.
Market rates are high due to lack of capacity and high demand.
Large shipments should be booked well in advance to allow time to find space.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
Americas
Rates into Asia, UK and Europe remain mostly the same this week
USA is set to lift travel ban for most noncitizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo.
ORD is still over capacity and there are issues over release updates. Forwarders are having to send in trucks to collect without knowing if freight is ready and the ground handling agents aren’t answering their phones
Forwarders are choosing to use smaller airports as much as possible as there is less congestion. Freight rates will be higher but there is less chance of incurring additional costs for attempted pickups, waiting time and storage.
LAX is still a challenge, there are usually waiting time charges applied to most shipments due to the long queues to collect/deliver into the ground handling agents warehouse
Europe/UK
Rates into Asia and North America remain stable as there seems to be enough capacity to meet demand.
USA is set to lift travel ban for most non-citizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo.
Road
UK Haulage
Lorry driver shortage: Government to lift rules on foreign haulier deliveries
The rules on the number of deliveries that overseas lorry drivers can make in the UK are set to be relaxed in a bid to tackle supply chain problems in the run-up to Christmas.
Under the new plans, drivers will be able to make unlimited deliveries or collections within a 14 day period. Currently EU drivers can only make two pick-ups or drop-offs each week.
Irish-French sea connections reach 44 with new Dunkirk terminal
A new Irish terminal has been opened at the French ferry port of Dunkirk, with Ireland-France sea routes rising from 12 before Brexit to 44 now.
The new terminal has already handled nearly 50,000 freight units (trucks and unaccompanied containers) moving from Rosslare and back, as exporters side step the UK land bridge.
European Bank Holidays – October 2021
October 23rd = Hungary and Macedonia
October 25th = Cyprus, Czechia, Greece
October 26th = Austria
October 29th = Turkey
October 31st = Germany (Regional) and Slovenia
The route ahead
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