Want freight market updates delivered straight to your inbox every week?
In Focus: Storm Kompasu is expected to further disrupt ports in China
Chinese officials have ordered ports in the Shenzhen region to suspend operations as Storm Kompasu is expected to pass south of Hong Kong overnight before moving West.
Yantian services were suspended on 12 October and the closure comes as ports in the region are already reporting strong backlogs and heavy levels of congestion.
The storm combined with a power-shortage crisis due to coal shortages and government rationing on electricity has caused a ripple effect on the global supply chain. Congestion is increasingly severe at major Chinese ports, creating further delays and reducing efficiency for the movement of goods out of the country.
Businesses need to be prepared for delays in the coming days.
Ocean
Asia → North America
Rates
Rates in Asia to USA dropped during China’s Golden Week.
It is expected that this will increase again due to demand for space and a backlog of shipments.
The Freightos Baltic Index (FBX) recorded a 7% decline for both US West Coast and East Coast ports to $16,749 and $19,429 per 40ft respectively
The Ningbo Containerised Freight Index (NCFI) saw its US West Coast index decrease by 0.8% and its East Coast index decrease by 0.7% as it reported ‘full loads’ for departing sailings.
Capacity
Forecasts for October US retail imports are expected to decrease slightly from last year’s numbers as congestion is slowing the movement of backed-up cargo.
October is forecasted at 2.21 million TEU, down 0.3 percent year-over-year, but still the sixth-busiest month on record as imports remain high. This year-over-year decline would be the first since July 2020.
COVID-19 infections in Asia have slowed the loading of US bound ships.
Ports
The closure of factories during Golden Week should allow US ports to catch up with the processing of containers through their terminals.
Shortages of equipment, labour and outbound truck and rail capacity have continued to build congestion at U.S. ports.
Nearly 75 ships were waiting at anchor to enter the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach in September, up from around 25 a month earlier. A backlog of ships has also spread to East Coast ports as well.
VERY limited availability out of SFCT, Limited haz availability
3.5 weeks
MINNEAPOLIS
10/12 (Chassis shortage)
1.5 weeks
MOBILE
10/27 (Chassis Shortage)
EXTREMELY limited availability for moves over 300 miles and/or OW loads
3.5 weeks
NASHVILLE
10/14 (Chassis shortage)
Export Congestion
1 week
NEW ORLEANS
10/14
2.5 weeks
NORFOLK
11/1 (Chassis shortage)
Very limited availability for PA moves
4 weeks
NY/NJ
11/3 (Chassis Shortage)
Export Congestion
4 weeks
OMAHA
10/12
Very limited triaxles
1 week
PHILADELPHIA
10/21 (Chassis shortage)
2.5 weeks
PORTLAND
10/15-very limited truck availability/Exports-soonest is November
1.5-2weeks
SAINT LOUIS
10/21 (chassis shortage)
Export Congestion – limited availability for triaxles.
2 weeks
SAVANNAH
11/3 – HAZ 11/8 (Chassis shortage)
Export Congestion / limited haz and triaxle availability
4 weeks
SEATTLE/ TACOMA
10/19 (chassis shortage)
Very Limited availability for exports and moves out of Tacoma ports
Asia → Europe (Far East Westbound)
Rates
Rates have been extended and continue to be stable.
For Asia-Europe, both the FBX and WCI indices recorded small percentage increases
The FBX has increased by 1% for both North Europe and Mediterranean ports, to $14,703 and $13,121 per 40ft, respectively.
The WCI North Europe component added 2%, to $14,807 per 40ft, and its reading for the Mediterranean was up by 1%, to $13,765 per 40ft.
Equipment
See below
Capacity
Only two out of 17 ships arriving in China this week completed their Far East to North Europe round trip in time.
At least 44 extra ships of between 14,000 to 24,000 teu would be needed on this lane to maintain weekly sailings on all loops
THEA is facing consequences of longer round trips for maintaining all regular calls.
Container ships are currently arriving with an average of 18 days in China after a full round trip between the Far East and North Europe.
Average delays of seven days for the Ocean Alliance
Average delays of 19 days for 2M VSA
Average days of 25 days for The Alliance.
Ports
Felixstowe, the UK’s largest container port, was forced to briefly suspend the return of empties
This has created further congestion and has led to major carriers including Maersk, Evergreen and CMA to divert ships from this port.
The closure of the yards at Felixstowe has had a ripple effect on other ports in the UK. An influx of empty returns are occurring at London Gateway which was also forced to close its gates briefly last week.
While both ports have reopened, port officials are encouraging shipping lines to remove empties from the yards as quickly as possible.
Ocean carriers are reducing the amount of import container free-time at North European ports.
Carriers argue this is to tighten up free-time at ports to incentivise importers to take delivery of cargo promptly thus improving the reliability of the supply chain by returning empty equipment back to Asia earlier.
Carriers
POL
20GP
40GP
40HQ
HPL
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
MSK
QINGDAO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
Nanjing
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
Xiamen
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
NANSHA
Normal
Normal
Normal
HONGKONG
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANTOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
ONE
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
XINGANG
Normal
Normal
Normal
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
ZIM
XIANGANG
Normal
Normal
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Shortage
HMM
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
MSC
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Normal
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
EMC
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Shortage
Shortage
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
OOCL
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Normal
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
CMA
QINGDAO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHANGHAI
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Shortage
cosco
YANTIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Normal
Normal
SHANGHAI
Normal
Normal
Shortage
NINGBO
Normal
Normal
Shortage
QINGDAO
Normal
Normal
Normal
DALIAN
Normal
Normal
Normal
XINGANG
Normal
Normal
Normal
YML
YANTIAN
Normal
Shortage
Normal
SHEKOU
Normal
Shortage
Normal
Europe → USA (Transatlantic Westbound)
Rates
Container spot rates on the transatlantic this week were flat
According to the WCI rates have stayed at $6,209 per 40ft
FBX rates have increased by 2%, to $6,986 per 40ft
Freight rates between North Europe and the US east coast have soared by over 200% since March.
Shippers on the route are facing an increase in surcharges as congestion at the US east coast ports worsens.
Air
Asia
1. US market
There are strict epidemic control measures at PVG airport. 40% of cargo flights have been cancelled for one month and we have no news on when they will be reinstated. Terminal workers are still working to the closed loop system, meaning they are working 14 days on/14 days off, this is resulting in reduced manpower and delays.
There are currently issues with shipments flying into JFK due to lack of manpower, which is resulting in an increase of ULD breakdown times. Air China service to JFK should be avoided.
Rates have decreased this week due to the 7 day holiday and not all factories returning to work. We expect this reduction to be short lived and rates will start to increase again in the lead up to Christmas.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
2. EU market (base airport like FRA/AMS/LUX, etc)
There are strict epidemic control measures at PVG airport. 40% of cargo flights have been cancelled for one month and we have no news on when they will be reinstated. Terminal workers are still working to the closed loop system, meaning they are working 14 days on/14 days off, this is resulting in reduced manpower and delays.
Rates have decreased this week due to the 7 day holiday and not all factories returning to work. We expect this reduction to be short lived and rates will start to increase again in the lead up to Christmas.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis
3. UK market
There are strict epidemic control measures at PVG airport. 40% of cargo flights have been cancelled for one month and we have no news on when they will be reinstated. Terminal workers are still working to the closed loop system, meaning they are working 14 days on/14 days off, this is resulting in reduced manpower and delays.
There are currently no direct flights operating to LHR.
Rates have decreased this week due to the 7 day holiday and not all factories returning to work. We expect this reduction to be short lived and rates will start to increase again in the lead up to Christmas.
Rates and space must be checked on a case-by-case basis.
Americas
Rates into Asia have increased slightly over the last week.
Rates to the UK and Europe remain the same.
JFK Airport is experiencing backlogs breaking down their ULD’s. Air China and their ground handling agent is particularly affected.
USA is set to lift travel ban for most noncitizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo.
ORD is still over capacity and there are issues over release updates. Forwarders are having to send in trucks to collect without knowing if freight is ready and the ground handling agents aren’t answering their phones
Forwarders are choosing to use smaller airports as much as possible as there is less congestion. Freight rates will be higher but there is less chance of incurring additional costs for attempted pickups, waiting time and storage.
LAX is still a challenge, there are usually waiting time charges applied to most shipments due to the long queues to collect/deliver into the ground handling agents warehouse
Europe/UK
Rates into Asia and North America remain stable as there seems to be enough capacity to meet demand.
USA is set to lift travel ban for most non-citizens from November, so long as they are vaccinated. The eased rules are expected to drive up demand for transatlantic travel. This is good news for the air freight industry as this will no doubt bring more flights and capacity for cargo.
Road
UK Haulage
HGV Driver Shortages Continue
An extra 2,000 training places will be available to increase the number of lorry drivers, but they are unlikely to have much effect before Christmas. The places will be available through previously announced “skills boot camps” backed by £17m government funding and with participants being guaranteed a job interview afterwards. The UK shortfall is estimated to stand at 100,000, according to the Road Haulage Association, and has been blamed for the recent fuel crisis.
Congestion at the port of Felixstowe
The Port of Felixstowe is struggling to cope with the volume of cargo and has become severely congested. The HGV driver shortages combined with the pre-Christmas peak, congested inland terminals, poor vessel schedule reliability and the pandemic, has resulted in a build-up of containers. The port’s management is taking action to improve the flow of traffic but is considering turning vessels away unless the situation improves.
European Bank Holidays
October 12th = Spain
October 23rd = Hungary and Macedonia
October 25th = Cyprus, Czechia, Greece
October 26th = Austria
October 29th = Turkey
October 31st = Germany (Regional) and Slovenia
The route ahead
The information that is available in the Weekly Market Update comes from a variety of online sources, partners and our own teams. Click below to learn more about how Zencargo can help make your supply chain your competitive advantage.